Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 3.723273 4.297551 4.928601 5.673185 6.527472 7.476759 8.611508
2025-01-05 2.983481 3.748343 4.659527 5.823924 7.271514 9.011283 11.260777
2025-01-12 2.397674 3.244025 4.325855 5.807643 7.782490 10.322188 13.835691
2025-01-19 1.867529 2.701120 3.836261 5.490891 7.837539 11.043048 15.752482
2025-01-26 1.633009 2.507250 3.766975 5.707914 8.616985 12.809000 19.304223
2025-02-02 1.491354 2.417239 3.821456 6.096277 9.679958 15.098529 23.904985
2025-02-09 1.318095 2.246653 3.723368 6.229284 10.362906 16.896164 27.991235
2025-02-16 1.164636 2.080370 3.602434 6.299104 10.941215 18.585114 32.104095
2025-02-23 0.998036 1.863785 3.364174 6.133007 11.094992 19.587017 35.190208
2025-03-02 0.842324 1.640863 3.080766 5.842625 10.984111 20.109842 37.491880
2025-03-09 0.756562 1.532969 2.985607 5.873753 11.443591 21.668930 41.804897
2025-03-16 0.662425 1.394248 2.813107 5.733402 11.559839 22.608603 45.072354
2025-03-23 0.628933 1.374384 2.871301 6.059021 12.634979 25.508107 52.513785
2025-03-30 0.587092 1.330989 2.876970 6.280600 13.534441 28.181417 59.859125
2025-04-06 0.531143 1.248558 2.790739 6.298922 14.018451 30.086183 65.888864
2025-04-13 0.454625 1.108107 2.561067 5.975961 13.733345 30.374849 68.571645
2025-04-20 0.430812 1.085606 2.587289 6.223932 14.729458 33.486649 77.721135
2025-04-27 0.421070 1.095190 2.687361 6.654243 16.192084 37.782662 90.019522
2025-05-04 0.393656 1.056794 2.669711 6.803736 17.020738 40.757567 99.666947
2025-05-11 0.364818 1.010201 2.625694 6.882573 17.689623 43.441506 108.955518
2025-05-18 0.325459 0.929653 2.486203 6.702991 17.699492 44.573799 114.654083
2025-05-25 0.284345 0.837593 2.304058 6.387087 17.320639 44.715511 117.913711
2025-06-01 0.263593 0.799163 2.257089 6.421564 17.852435 47.166769 127.290369